BKT FX Weekly Review - Market Anarchy, The Day Atlas Crumbled 10.10-15.08

Date October 11, 2008

bkpicsmall

————–Top 5 Stories in FX This Week—————-

Our Choice Recession Vs. Depression
The Missing Piece of the Rescue
Hard Look at Greenspan Legacy
Europe - the New Lehman?
FDIC How Soon We Forget

—————–The Art of Managing Luck—————

So this was an interesting week in the FX market to say the least. As I write this Dylan Radigan is running a piece on CNBC entitled Violent Volatility Vortex as he points to the the fact that VIX has now hit 70 on an intra day basis while the DOW has plunged below 8000 for the first time since 2003.

For FX traders the equity market has been the only market that matters because the one and only driver of trade in currencies has been has been risk. On Thursday we had the Aussie rise 500 points as risk assumption returned temporarily and on Friday it plunged that much and more as risk aversion came back with a vengeance.

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Boris Bloomberg, CNBC 10/06/08

Date October 6, 2008

Boris Bloomberg

Boris CNBC

BK Weekly FX Special 10.03-.08.08 Euro Can You Spare a Dime?

Date October 4, 2008

bkpicsmall

————–Top 5 Stories in FX This Week—————-

The Mother of All Bank Runs
What Does Paulson Do Now?
Can Japan Offer the Solution?
US Debt - 10 Trillion
Liquidity is in the Eye of the Holder

———–Trading Thoughts-Fade ‘em or Trade ‘Em?—————

Here is the metaphysical dilemma of trading trend. Trend is only clear in hindsight. At its core trend trading boils down to betting on continuation of price flow. Don’t get me wrong. There is is nothing wrong with trend trading. At BKT we are hard core trend traders and that philosophy has served us very well this year. However, even the strongest trend always corrects somewhat and on an intra-day day basis the currency market provides ample opportunities to fade the flow if you know what you are doing.

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Boris Bloomberg 10/02/08

Date October 4, 2008

Boris Bloomberg